I have discussed Saturday’s horse racing in a couple of posts this week already but will be adding three bets to the one already placed. There is plenty on this weekend and I am betting on the All-Weather, in a Hurdle and a couple of Chases – a little something for everyone.
Best bets for the horse racing at Newbury
Bravemansgame goes in the 1.15 at Newbury the 2m7½f Betfair Cheltenham Roarcast Novices' Limited Handicap Chase in his final preparations for the Festival. Unsurprisingly, despite giving away chunks of weight he is odds-on. I am of course on him ante-post for the Brown Advisory Novice Chase at Cheltenham at 4’s so all being well he will trot round here, win hard held and be primed ready for next month.
The Big Breakaway runs in the Daily Rewards With Betfair Handicap Hurdle at 1.50 in what must surely be a livener before the Festival; he is one I follow but I won’t be backing him over the sticks giving the field a stone!
At 2.25 it is the race of the day the Grade Two 2m7½f Betfair Denman Chase in which I took Evens about Clan Des Obeaux earlier this week: http://www.girdysgeegees.com/blog/best-bet-for-the-betfair-denman-chase-saturday-12th-february I am more than happy about the bet and fully expect my old mate to do me a favour, as I said on Thursday my biggest concern is the fact the yard aint in great form.
I am leaving the Game Spirit Chase alone as that is a surprisingly tricky heat despite being only four runners.
I think it is interesting that Colin Tizzard has thrown one as inexperienced as JPR One into the G.3 Betfair Hurdle at 3.35. the five-year-old has shown some talent in his three starts to date, won two, and is naturally expected to improve again yet. A mark of 130 may have underestimated him and he is worth a punt at the 11-2 overnight. Broomfield Burg is an obvious danger whilst Knappers Hill was far from disgraced behind Jonnon last time and is the other shortlisted.
Best bet for the horse racing at Warwick
The Grade Two Virgin Bet Kingmaker Novices' Chase over two-mile at 2.05 is the big race at Warwick. Edwardstone and Third Time Lucki face-off again. Edwardstone triumphed at Sandown when they met before in the Henry VIII at Sandown but I think Harry Skelton got it wrong there going too hard too early and a couple pf mistakes clearly took their toll on Third Time Lucki. I didn’t think he’d run today having won at Doncaster a fortnight ago but it is encouraging connections are prepared to go again and take on Edwardstone again. I have a bit of the 15-8 overnight about the Skelton trained seven-year-old gaining revenge and in turn shaking the Arkle market right up!
Best bet for the horse racing at Wolverhampton
Deciduous interests me making debut for Charlie Appleby up at Wolverhampton in the 6.15 the 1m4f Watch Racing Free Online At Coral Novice Stakes. He is by Dubawi out of fair miler in her day Black Cherry and the team at Moulton Paddocks have clearly taken their time with him; it is noted he is already gelded. The three-year-olds grandsires are Dubai Millenium on the sire side, little introduction needed, and Mount Nelson on the dam side, a winner of the G.1 Criterium International over a mile and G.1 Coral Eclipse over 1m2f in his light racing career. He cost 480,000 Guineas as a yearling, and as the snips have already been reached for, he needs to start paying some of that off winning races. The yard has a 32% strike-rate here and any runner Appleby sends to the West-Midlands is always worth a look. All the opposition have track experience, Wendell's Lad and Bit Harsh actually faced each other earlier this year, but the Godolphin team should have a handle on what they face as Benedict Wildes was a distant second to the Appleby trained Blue Trail on his debut. Hopefully he'll be a fair price and I will grab the best I can likely on Saturday morning when they price-up.Be lucky