It’s a busy day again on Saturday as they race at HQ, Chester, Haydock, Market Rasen, Ripon and Chelmsford City in the evening under the floodlights down in Essex. There is a Group Two, a couple of Group Ones and the Cambridgeshire itself to enjoy at Newmarket and that’s where I am concentrating for the afternoon. It's been a tough first two days for me but the loses are only lent Mr Bookmaker!
They get underway at 1.50 with the Group Two Juddmonte Royal Lodge Stakes for 2yo colts and geldings and there are a couple of interesting form lines here with leading 2,000 Guineas hopes. Beatboxer heads the market having won his two races to date with what appeared bundles in hand, that said none of the horses he has beat thus far have looked likely world beaters in their runs since. He may prove to be good but I am prepared to take him on. Cape Of Good Hope got off the mark at the third time of asking for Aidan O’Brien but then ran into Quorto (subsequent G.1 National Stakes winner) in the G.2 Superlative Stakes at HQ in July. The form of the race he won at Tipperary isn’t exactly red hot and he doesn’t appear the best 2yo Ballydoyle has ever had. Arthur Kitt was two from two having won on debut at Haydock and then the Listed Chesham at Ascot. He bumped into Too Darn Hot at Sandown in the G.3 Solario Stakes last time and was no match for that colt, who of course went on to win the G.2 Champagne Stakes at Doncaster, but was a clear second. Being by Camelot out of a sprinter you would expect he will be fine with the step-up to a mile, it should prove ideal, and I have the7-2.
At 2.25 it’s the Group One Juddmonte Cheveley Park Stakes over the six furlongs for 2yo fillies. Pretty Pollyanna and Signora Cabello face-off again after finishing 1st and 2nd in the G.1 Darley Prix Morny and the race would appear to be between the pair. I thought the jolly showed some guts when seeing of Signora Cabello in that race and there is no reason to think that the outcome will be any different here. She was a very impressive winner of the Group 2 Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes on the July course before that and looks a potential star. I am on at 11-8.
The 2yo colts do their thing over the same trip of six at 3.00 for the Group One Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes. Trends for this race are confusing, outright favourites have a fair record but then again you are just as likely to see a 25-1 winner! One trend that stands out is experience, with nine of the last ten winners having run at least three times before. To give you an idea; US Navy Flag (10-1) was running for the ninth time when winning last season. The Last Lion (25-1) was running for the tenth, and last time, in 2016 and Shalaa (1-2) was running for the sixth time in 2015. That experience stat would suggest Ten Sovereigns can’t win despite what the market says. He has won his two starts impressively enough but what has he beaten? One at a price that I kept going back to reading the form was Emaraaty Ana. He won on debut before finishing third at Newbury in July where he still looked a little green. No such problem when showing what he could do beating Legends of War in the G.2 Gimcrack at York over 6f on the good to firm last time keeping on gamely when pressed inside the final furlong. With three runs under his belt, he remains open to improvement and has the experience edge on the market principles so at 9-1 I am on the Kevin Ryan trained colt.
If you fancy a cheeky evening bet I have one at Chelmsford City in the 6.45 that I will be punting. Mutarabby looked a progressive type for Saeed bin Suroor through the summer of 2017, won and finished second over a mile here amongst some good efforts. He perhaps found the 1m3f at Kempton on his return after over a year off track three weeks ago a bit much but will be fitter for it. 1m2f here might prove ideal and with a visor fitted for the first time he can win this. Grab the best price you can when they price-up.