Best bets for the horse racing Saturday 1st October 2022
It’s a busy weekend of action ahead, no lay-in at Triple G Towers this morning or Sunday. It is of course Arc weekend but there is plenty to ponder on Saturday before the big meeting Sunday. I am involved at the two big meetings at Ascot and Newmarket.
Best bets for the horse racing at Ascot
They get underway at Ascot at 1.51 with the Listed 5f Oakman Inns Rous Stakes. Kings Lynn runs in the Royal colours and can be the first winner for King Charles III. The five-year-old drops down back down in both trip and grade for this contest and get can his head in front with some of his best form coming on rain softened ground also seen as a plus. Get on at 9-2. Long live the King!
Having tipped him when he won in January at Meydan I said back in February I thought Silent Film might be running in Pattern class this campaign when tipping him for the 7f Al Sakhir Cup Handicap in Bahrain; he won that and then hasn’t won since! As a result of four run without a win his mark has dropped to 100 and that gives him a chance in the 7f Peroni Nastro Azzurro Challenge Cup at 3.36. Harry Davies takes of 3lb and he was only just denied over track and trip last time, under that pilot, which makes me think he is too big at the 14-1 that is available and with Bookies paying five-places he is an each-way punt.
Best bet for the horse racing at Newmarket
Race of the day is the Group Onemile Royal Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes at 2.42. Irish 1,000 Guineas heroine (tipped on here) Homeless Songs is looking to get her season back on track following a disappointing fourth in the Matron Stakes at Leopardstown earlier this month. Last year's winner Saffron Beach is back and will be reunited with William Buick. She was second in the Matron Stakes at Leopardstown giving her the edge on the three-year-old on paper and her trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam believes Newmarket Rowley Mile plays to the filly’s strengths. It looks to be between the two to me and, as I think Homeless Songs is likely to come on from her run in the Matron Stakes having been off for four months prior to that, she can take this. I have the 9-4.
The Prestige Vehicles British EBF Maiden Stakes is also over a mile but for the two-year-old colts and we have a Charlie Appleby newcomer lining-up in the shape of Imperial Emperor. You know the rule by now, Godolphin owned debutants at HQ have to be backed so I am on at 2-1. By Dubawi out of G.1 winning mare Zhukova he is a full-brother to First Ruler who has won a couple of race this year and is rated 106 so there is every reason to believe this one should also turn out alright. I mentioned when tipping the brother before there are a host of big names on the pedigree page such as Dubai Millennium, Nightime and Galileo to name but three and much must be hoped for from him.
Straight after at 3.52 Military Order also makes debut for the Moulton Paddocks team in the 7f Weatherbys Print And Design Maiden Stakes but was odds-on as soon as the Bookies chalked-up. It's a case of watching rather than punting. He is a full-brother to Derby winner Adayar being by Frankel out of Anna Salai so you can understand the interest in him though such a short-price is an overreaction I would suggest, his brother got beat on debut let's not forget and his three half-siblings never won a race between them!
Sonny Liston, my Derby long range ante-post punt, runs at Redcar in a Listed heat over seven but I can't throw any more cash at that one, Al Suhail runs at Ascot but drops to six furlongs and looks up against it in the Group Three to me. Out in France Kyprios goes for the Group One 2m4f Qatar Prix du Cadran but I won't be playing as he is odds-on.