Best bets for the horse racing across the globe Sunday 13th August 2023
I mentioned in Friday's post that it was a weekend of action across the globe. I had bets in America and Ireland yesterday as well as here in the UK and I am making a betting raid across the Channel in France and Germany Sunday. Full disclosure I couldn't tip a wheelbarrow at the moment, actually had ten losing bets in a row (shocking run) but faint heart never won fair lady so we go again..........
Best bet for the horse racing at Hoppegarten
New London is following a path trod by Rebel’s Romance as he looks for a breakthrough Group One success in the 1m4f Grosser Preis von Berlin at Hoppegarten due off at 1.03 our time. Never out of the first three he was second in the St Leger last season and started this campaign with a third placed finish in the 1m4f Listed Fred Archer Stakes at Newmarket last month behind stable mate Kemari making good late headway. Trainer Charlie Appleby said on Friday “New London has definitely come forward since his first start of the year at Newmarket. We have been pleased with him going into this and he showed during his three-year-old campaign that he is a talented campaigner. He heads to Germany in good order and should be very competitive.” James Doyle rides for the first time and with the run at HQ having blown away the cobwebs I think he is more than good enough to take this. I am on at 2-1.
Best bets for the horse racing at Deauville
It’s a decent card at Deauville on Sunday with four Group races and a Listed heat with quite a few raiders making the trip from the UK and Ireland. The going is described as soft.
The first race of interest is the Group Three 7f Circus Maximus Prix Francois Boutin at 12.58 in which five potentially top-class two-year-olds run. Mythology is the most experienced and got off the mark at the fourth attempt in the heavy at Galway over seven last month. Evade looks the main hope for the home team. Majestic One showed a good attitude to win over 7f at Doncaster in June. Charlie Appleby said earlier this week “Majestic One goes into this on the back of a pleasing debut success. We are testing ourselves at this level to hopefully give us a steer on his autumn campaign.” I have 11-4 early.
The Group Three 1m4½f Prix Minerve at 1.33 also looks competitive. Tasmania was third in the G.1 1m2½f Prix de Diane Longines back in June behind Blue Rose Cen which still looks good form despite the shocker of a ride the winner was give at Glorious Goodwood in the Nassau Stakes. The step-up from 1m2f should suit this filly, she stayed on well at Chantilly and was unlucky not to nick second. I am on the chestnut at Evens.
The Listed 1m2f Prix Nureyev at 2.49 looks to me to be a great chance for Bold Act to get back to winning ways stepping down from Group class. Charlie Appleby said of the colt in the build-up “Bold Act put up a solid performance in the Prix Eugene Adam (Group Two), when the race probably wasn’t run to suit him. We are leaving the cheek-pieces off this time and he is a pretty consistent horse.” I have tipped him more than once and remain convinced he is at the very least up to this standard. I am on at 7-4. Victory Dance was third in the Listed 1m2f Newmarket Stakes at HQ in May and he hasn’t been since; Ryan Moore takes a rare ride for Charlie Appleby. There has to be a slight concern with the softer going. Woodchuck might prove the best of the home team.
The main event is the mile Group One Prix du Haras de Fresnay-le-Buffard Jacques le Marois at 3.26. Shock G.1 Queen Anne Stakes winner Triple Time has been sent over by Kevin Ryan with Neil Callan once again in the saddle. Ryan also sends Hi Royal and was quick to book William Bucik to ride when it became apparent he was available. Second in the 2,000 Guineas and third in the Irish 2,00 Guineas he blotted his copybook when down the field in the 7f Prix Jean Prat last time. That said that run can be forgiven with the likes of Chaldean and Meditate also down the field in a mess of a race. Life In Motion is a solid performer and ran a blinder to finish second in the G.1 Prix Rothschild Last time but had also been beaten in G.2 and G.3 heats before that and may have to settle for place money again this afternoon. Having just been beaten by Triple Time in the Queen Anne last years winner Inspiral makes the trip across the Channel again but off the back of a below par effort on soft in the Sussex Stakes which has to be a concern with the going out in France. Big Rock was second in the 1m2f G.1 Prix du Jockey Club last time having put together a run of four victories prior to that. The colt hasn’t run over a mile this year so the drop back in trip for the three-year-old is perhaps a bit of a surprise but should prove fruitful for connections. I expect him to lead and a little unusually for French racing look to make this a test. I am on at 11-4.
The last of the Pattern races is at 4.00 the Group Three 1m2f Prix Gontaut-Biron Hong Kong Jockey Club. Place Du Carrousel was last seen finishing fifth in the G.1 Prix Ganay Prix Ganay on heavy going on his seasonal reappearance back in April at Longchamp; Barzalona wasn’t that tough on him when his chance had gone. I think he is the one for this and have the 11-10.
Be lucky